NFL Week 17 – Pick Tracker
I have been tracking all NFL games this season, so with only 1 week left, let’s take a look at how everything has shaken out.
For this season, I have just been tracking the basics. All home, all road, all favorite, all underdog, and a combination of all four. I am still looking to add more criteria down the road (specifically per team), but for now, simple.
16 weeks in, we have seen a lot of trends. Some expected, and some, well, not. Here is where we are at:
When picking against the spread, the home teams are covering just 44% of the time, as opposed to 56% for the road teams. And the underdogs are covering 53% of the time, compared to the favorites covering only 47%. Overall the road teams are faring much better than the home teams, which I wouldn’t expect. Overall your best bet are road underdogs, who are covering 57% of the time.
When not factoring in spreads, the numbers are more spread out. Home teams are winning just 52% of their games, which seems a little low. Your best bets (obviously) are your favorites, who are winning about 65% of time. Taking that a step further, the home favorites are winning 64%, with the road favorites winning 67%. Home underdogs are your worst bet, winning only 33% of the time.
Here is a breakdown of the winning percentages:
I will look to continue this tracking next year, but with more variables. It’s been fun. Happy gambling everyone!!
Like this article? Share it on Twitter or Facebook. Like us? Follow us on Twitter (@big3sportsblog1) or like our Facebook page (@big3sportsblog). Not a fan? Tell us why!